Fed, Rate-Cut Odds

‘We Still Have an Inflation Problem.’ A Fed Newcomer Wants to Go Slow on Rate Cuts.
The central bank’s recent infusion of financial-market brawn includes Beth Hammack, who worked for three decades at Goldman Sachs.
Federal Reserve rate cuts could create more harm than good
Financial markets are still concerned about inflation. The Fed influences short-term interest rates, which are falling, but longer-term bonds like the 10-year Treasury are a better reflection of inflation expectations.
How Fed Rate-Cut Odds Have Shifted This Week
Fears of elevated interest rates dampened the mood on Wall Street at the start of this year–but cooling core inflation and dovish comments by Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller have given investors reason to feel a bit more cheerful this week.
Fed’s Waller Says Fresh Rate Cuts Possible in First Half of 2025
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the US central bank could lower interest rates again in the first half of 2025 if inflation data continues to be favorable.
Latest CPI Inflation Report Makes January Fed Rate Cut Very Unlikely
Consumer Price Index showed an acceleration to 2.9%, the highest rate since July. With such high inflation, the Fed is unlikely to cut rates in January.
US Could Cut Interest Rates 3 Or 4 Times This Year: Fed Official
The US Federal Reserve could cut rates three or four times this year if inflation data cooperates, with a first cut possible before July, a senior bank official said Thursday.
Why are interest rates rising when the Fed has been cutting them?
The yield on the 10-year Treasury has recently soared toward its highest level since 2023, injecting nervousness into the U.S. stock market that's knocked indexes from their records.
Why mortgage rates are still high despite the Fed rate cuts
As mentioned, mortgage rates haven't fallen in line with the Fed's rate cuts because they depend on factors beyond the agency's benchmark rate, such as the economy and 10-year Treasury bond yields. For example, when the 10-year treasury rate goes up, mortgage rates tend to follow, and vice-versa.
Fed Odds Have Shifted Toward Sustained March Pause
As the Federal Reserve’s premeeting blackout period begins, it is a good moment for a look at how Fedspeak and economic data have shifted forward expectations about the central bank’s next moves.
Fed may cut rates sooner and faster than expected if disinflation holds up, Waller says
Inflation is likely to continue to ease and possibly allow the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates sooner and faster than ...
CPI edged higher in December, complicating the Fed's upcoming decision on rate cuts
Inflation is proving stickier than expected, which could cause Fed to hit pause button on more interest rate cuts.
SA Charts: See how the major sectors have performed during the Fed's rate-cutting cycle
An analysis of how market segments have performed since the Federal Reserve started cutting rates, with insights on current ...
U.S. equity fund outflows surged on doubts over Fed rate cuts
U.S. equity funds saw a spike in outflows for the week ending Jan. 15, as the outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year ...